Technical and Risk Context Note

Apple Inc.AAPL

Generated 2026-07-20. Observation window 2025-11-17 to 2026-05-22 (129 daily observations).

Summary

Over 129 observations: trend improving; momentum stretched; elevated volatility; drawdown improving. Research context only, not a trade recommendation.

Trend
improving
Momentum
stretched
Volatility
elevated volatility
Drawdown
improving
Price and moving averages
Latest close308.82
20-day SMA289.35
50-day SMA270.55
12-day EMA297.58
26-day EMA287.61
Close vs 20-day SMAabove
Close vs 50-day SMAabove
Momentum and volatility
RSI (14)78.4
MACD9.97
MACD signal8.99
MACD histogram0.98
Bollinger upper314.84
Bollinger lower263.86
Bollinger %b0.88
ATR (14)5.94 (1.92%)
Risk metrics
Annualized volatility22.06%
Maximum drawdown-13.80%
Recent drawdown0.00%
Downside volatility (annualized)14.93%
Historical VaR (95%, daily)-2.07%
Latest daily return1.26%

Classification labels: volatility neutral, downside risk neutral, value at risk neutral.

Source: Stooq daily EOD (aapl_us_d.csv). Metrics computed offline by the Long Research analytics layer from a committed daily price series; the calculation is deterministic and uses no live data feed. Moving averages, RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, and ATR are standard technical indicators; volatility, drawdown, downside volatility, and historical value at risk are computed from daily returns over the observation window. Sourced measurements and derived classifications are kept distinct, and unavailable evidence is disclosed rather than filled.

Long Research is an educational research project. This note is research context only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, a rating, a price target, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security.